Once upon a time, two hundred years ago in a faraway Anglican country,
there existed a weaver by the name of Ned. Ned wasn’t very bright,
but like so many other figures in history, he had a gift of leadership.
And as mechanized knitting frames came into use, it was the ignoble
role of Ned to organize systematic nighttime raids on the hoisers’
factories.
The raiders who wanted to stop time and progress
by destroying more efficient tools took on Ned’s name. Ned Ludd became
known as “King Ludd” and his men as “Luddites.”
It goes without
saying that neither the mechanized hoisers nor the Parliament were
amused. A thousand infantrymen and 900 cavalry were mobilized, in
a growing force that finally numbered 35,000. General Thomas Maitland
put the movement down by December, 1812, with the trial and execution
of 17 Luddites and the exile of thousands to colonies in New England.
Ludd himself disappeared in this mop-up, probably one of the involuntary
colonists with an assumed name.
Be it ever thus to knaves and
fools.
The instinct to stop progress by destroying what progress
hath wrought remains, however. Each sea-change of new technology had
its blockers and obstacles. DeWitt Clinton was ridiculed and his project
derided as “Clinton’s Ditch” - no doubt to the cheering of the wagonmasters
and teamsters who laboriously carted freight to the Western settlements
of Pittsburgh and Buffalo. Yet The New York State Barge Canal, the
modern descendent of the Erie Canal, remains to this day a vital commercial
resource...to the extent that modern, redistributionist New York has
commerce.
Ditto the railroads. In a long, flowery diatribe I
no longer recall, one post-Civil-War Senator eagerly condemned the
nascent railroad industry as the work of Satan, driven with odd contraptions
which spewed smoke and noise and belched fire; while the canals were
peaceful, quiet, pastoral and pleasantly powered by attractive draft
animals...surely a transport favored of God.
And today? To this
day, old-timers bemoan the “glory days” of travel by rail; ignoring
the dirt, the delay, the inconvenience. They will drive (how’s that
for irony) hundreds of miles to ride excursions which pretend to recreate
a past which never was; the basis for the legend long gone.
Such
is progress. Such is the mind of man in refusing to accept progress.
And
of such comes the false-populist promise to use the force of government
to protect narrow interests, jobs and markets, of selective groups.
And we are in singular times; when such empty promises strike a chord
with people who don’t understand economics and don’t trust traditional
experts.
The current team of Pied Pipers, John French Kerry
and his shadow, have come out in favor of saving Americans’ jobs.
Good on them. I’m in favor of that. You’re in favor of that. Bush
is in favor of that. Who could be opposed to that?
Well, like
always, the devil’s in the details. And the secret’s behind the spin.
And the guilty party’s usually a political party - or a government
agency.
To understand how to save jobs, one needs understand
how jobs are lost. And gained. And what are the risks of living in
a free, fluid economy...vis a vis the benefits. If you want a safe
job, you want a stagnant economy. One of the safest jobs you can find,
probably, is over in one of the Arab states...as a goatherd or camel
driver, or mullah. They’re needed; and they’ve been needed for a thousand
years. And likely will be for a thousand more. That’s real job security.
Not much of a prospect, but security in spades.
Security to
lesser extents are found in industries in socialist countries; in
government jobs in the United States.
Other jobs tend to be more
transient and more subject to redefinition. Towpath muleskinners are
pretty much relegated to Knotts’ Berry Farm. Blacksmithy has receded
to a niche market. Lumberjacking’s drastically changed as it’s shrunk...that’s
tied into the jumps in productivity tied to the modern chain saw.
To say nothing of government rules and regs.
Take, for an example,
blacksmithing. An unglamorous job, but a needed one. Every enclave
had a horseshoer to care for the neighborhood nags. Shortly after
Henry Ford finished his “Quadracycle,” he gave a ride to a reporter
to the Detroit Free Press. Passing by a blacksmith’s foundry,
Ford hooked a thumb. “His trade is doomed, ” he intoned.
He
was right. He was about thirty years prescient, but he was right.
So, what happened to all these jobs? Why wasn’t the land cursed
with hordes of unemployed blacksmiths, waving tongs, hefting anvils,
threatening mayhem? What if, for example, present-day sensibilities
prevailed in those unhappy times? What if, with the rising sales of
the Tin Lizzie, the Blacksmiths’s Union had prevailed upon the Coolidge
Administration to offer wage subsidies to neighborhood blacksmiths?
Think
of it. These well-paid blacksmiths, on government subsidy...every
morning, coming in to the shop, firing up the furnace; polishing the
tools; mending the aprons. And closing earlier and earlier each day,
since they were utterly without utility.
Until the day the situation
became so ludicrous that someone need do something. Likely a conservative
or a realist. Imagine Ike suddenly yanking the Blacksmith Wage Guarantee.
Imagine the Left of that day castigating and vilifying Eisenhower
as an enemy of the working man.
Because that’s where we are
today.
The economy’s changing, with technology and lifestyle.
Grocery checkers have been replaced by laser scanners. Even before
the latest change, Self-Serve scanning, it had gotten to where a third
of the employees could handle twice the people. With one-tenth the
skill. Grocery checkers were highly skilled and well paid. Should
we have outlawed barcode technology to protect their jobs? I recall
some serious discussion along those lines, 22 years ago...but we were
a more serious and forward-looking people then.
And so it is
today. Kerry is right when he says 2.7 million jobs have been lost.
And Bush is right when he says 1.5 million jobs have been created.
Jobs lost as jobs are created. That’s the mark of a healthy, dynamic
economy.
But the current plan, favored by the party favored by
the unions, promises to “reward” corporations that “remain in America.”
What it means is that it will punish corporations which take part
of their operations overseas...taxing the profit made overseas in
America. So that they will have tax liability in SEVERAL nations.
That’s the liberal plan. Not so much the carrot and the stick as the
stick and the club. So just as there has been a disincentive for investment
in U.S. plants and operations, there will be a disincentive for investment
in foreign operations. How is this going to create work? How is making
it foolhardy for Americans to invest in their business - no matter
WHERE it is located - going to create more opportunity? News flash,
boys and girls: It won’t.
It may serve to protect marginal industries
for a few months or years. But the economy is never static...unless
you live in the United Arab Emirates. Progress waits for no man.
Steelworkers
working in obsoleted mills, mills obsoleted because tax and regulatory
structure and union demands made upgrades cost-inefficient, will have
work a little longer. Until the price advantage of overseas mills
becomes so great that purchase even from Hyundai or China, Incorporated
is necessary by cost differentiation and common sense.
The situation
is made worse. Americans no longer have the work, thanks to closed-shop
laws and liberal regulation. Now, American investors no longer have
the returns, either.
There are examples in every industry. There
are terrified people in every walk of life, who’ve been sold the false
hope of eternal job security and crave a savior...even a charlatan
politico who knows only slightly more of economics then his audience.
To
such people, with the heart of a policy wonk and the mind of Ned Ludd,
restriction and regulation and force is the solution. No matter the
question.
Such false prophets make false promises, to deal with
unemployment...their own. And once employed, they tamper with a system
they don’t understand, because they deny and deride the human emotions
and drives which make capitalism work. And the problem’s worsened...the
usual the end result of liberal counter-intuitiveness. The jobs are
not saved. The return stream on investment is channeled overseas.
And America slides even further into a consumer society, not a producer
society...and the media’s fellow- travelers will find a way to blame
the last Republican President. The economy’s quick response to the
tax cuts, its ability to shrug off the terrorist strikes on American
soil, should be a wake-up call to these economic Luddites. Will they
ever heed it? Or do they have a vested interest in sleeping in...keeping
their flock in blissful-but- catastrophic slumber?
* * * * * * * * *
C. E. Richards is a former political-science student
and locomotive engineman in the Great Lakes region, where he drives
trains, worships cars, curses government - and now will try to write
about all three.
Copyright© JPT/Roaring Forks 2004. Free use with attribution.
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